charts discussion Early Predictions (8/5/2023): Jason Aldean #1, K-Pop #5, Barbie World #9

[naval23]

damn Dua is so close to top 10

[Katamari]

so its number one peak  is fueled by its digital sales really 

 

 

[Ger]

Damn at Dua being so close to Top 10, maybe it's a hit after all.

[Starchild]

3 hours ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Updated predictions: 

 

 

Looking ahead, TTiaST will be challenging Heartless 1-17 third week fall: 

 

Hmm these are very diff with kpop being 5 and 10.

lip is the most accurate predictor right? He usually wins the prediction battles they have so I'm guessing he's more accurate than Winston. Hopefully kpop doesn't reach top 10 and vampire is able to stay on. Hopefully cruel summer also has a jump like lip is predicting

 

Also YES at Aldean being a LOSER 

Edited July 28, 2023 by Starchild

[Green]

1 hour ago, Katamari said:

so its number one peak  is fueled by its digital sales really 

 

 

 

The 34 million streams also helped   

[QueenofCopyPaste]

32 minutes ago, Starchild said:

Hmm these are very diff with kpop being 5 and 10.

lip is the most accurate predictor right? He usually wins the prediction battles they have so I'm guessing he's more accurate than Winston. Hopefully kpop doesn't reach top 10 and vampire is able to stay on. Hopefully cruel summer also has a jump like lip is predicting

 

Also YES at Aldean being a LOSER 

ChartEssentials is more accurate

[Katamari]

8 minutes ago, Green said:

 

The 34 million streams also helped   

fff i thought that said 3.4 omg we lost 

[Starchild]

2 minutes ago, QueenofCopyPaste said:

ChartEssentials is more accurate

Oh yea thanks I forgot about em lol do you know if they've released their predictions like lip did for today?

[khalyan]

Dua is SO CLOSE to top 10

 

Is this week her only chance or could it happen next week if Jason and Travis drop off

[Capruni]

Thanks God TTIAST colapsed in numbers very fast and It won’t top hot 100 for more than one week… 

[TrieLz]

3 hours ago, Starchild said:

Hmm these are very diff with kpop being 5 and 10.

lip is the most accurate predictor right? He usually wins the prediction battles they have so I'm guessing he's more accurate than Winston. Hopefully kpop doesn't reach top 10 and vampire is able to stay on. Hopefully cruel summer also has a jump like lip is predicting

 

Also YES at Aldean being a LOSER 

Some people say that Kpop physical CDs shipped next week.

without those sales kpop will not debut in the top 5

I think Winston include those physical sales on his early prediction.

 

[PurrKaty]

I’m so excited this week for the Barbie sound tracks resurgence!!  
 

Also, idk if anyone else noticed this, but Cardi/Offset, Drake/Central, Calvin/Sam, Travis/Drake all dropped bangers this week imo. I hope they all get good runs  

[Lovett]

 

[jamiko1230]

Atp, just let Dua get #12 w/ Miley or whoever at #11! lol If she does end up at #11 by a point or two it's basically May 2021 all over again w/ *radio fng her over just in 'time' last minute. Was gaining pretty decently & consistently up until early this week all BEFORE the streaming/sales went parabolic. Make it make sense. Nah, nothing to see there ffs. 

 

If it does end up a point means it's 50/50 =#10 could happen but I do.not.trust Billfraud unless it's a hefty, durable lead. They almost always pull the rug & shenanigans when it's super close from specific artists and certain kind of songs.  

[Lovett]

 

[pride4jc1222]

Chart Essentials final prediction: 

You Proof is expected to go recurrent.

[lukascharts]

On 7/28/2023 at 4:48 PM, QueenofCopyPaste said:

ChartEssentials is more accurate

This is debatable. For finals they use the exact same source resulting in usually almost the same predictions (in fact, I'd prefer if they merge, but I don't know if that's ever happening). I prefer Lip because Lip gives updates more frequently than ChartEssentials and his stats are usually more accurate when comparing to Billboard (such as two weeks ago).

 

On 7/28/2023 at 4:51 PM, Starchild said:

Oh yea thanks I forgot about em lol do you know if they've released their predictions like lip did for today?

This is late, but based on their Twitter feed, ChartEssentials doesn't do Friday predictions. They only post midweek predictions (usually on Wednesday) and final predictions (usually on Saturday).

[fridayteenage]

oh, for some reason i thought ryan had already charted, but ig City of Stars was only bubbling under

[pride4jc1222]

The first Hot 100 chart: August 4, 1958

01 -- Poor Little Fool - Ricky Nelson (1st of 2 weeks at #1)
02 -- Patricia - Perez Prado & His Orchestra
03 -- Splish Splash - Bobby Darin
04 -- Hard Headed Woman - Elvis Presley
05 -- When - The Kalin Twins
06 -- Rebel-Rouser - Duane Eddy
07 -- Yakkety Yak - The Coasters
08 -- My True Love - Jack Scott
09 -- Willie And The Hand Jive - The Johnny Otis Show
10 -- Fever - Peggy Lee

[HEAVYONIT]

On 7/29/2023 at 10:11 AM, Lovett said:

No shade, but how do you not get dropped for not charting on the Hot 100 in 8 years??

[sickoagb]

13 minutes ago, Black Jesus said:

No shade, but how do you not get dropped for not charting on the Hot 100 in 8 years??

360 deal + a concentrated fanbase that attends your shows, buys physicals and supports brand deals + music/visual production done in house/with friends + being an active songwriter for others