Hot 100 07/22/2023 predictions:Last night #1 again,Mine & I can see you top 10 debut

[pride4jc1222]

20 minutes ago, Starchild said:

You do know I can report you for being a child and spam downvoting my posts over me disliking one of yours right?

You're the child for downvoting a prediction from a predictor account. There's no reason for you to do that. Just be glad that someone is still posting the predictions.

[BuzzCharts]

2 hours ago, Ger-55 said:

How many weeks at #1 are we thinking for "Last Night"? I think 16 at this point, and it surely could do even more, which is crazy af.

Just wait until he drops the music video and somehow gives the song new life 

[mystery]

Dance The Night would be rising again if not for the Speak Now bomb. Wonder how the movie will help the Barbie songs. 

[pride4jc1222]

I think Last Night's reign at #1 on the Hot 100 will end at 17 or 18 weeks. fukumean is really coming, as it has passed LN on US Spotify. It depends on how fast it gains on Rhythmic and Urban (the adds are already there), but fukumean is eventually going to reach #1 on the Hot 100.

[KatyPrismSpirit]

7 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

I think Last Night's reign at #1 on the Hot 100 will end at 17 or 18 weeks. fukumean is really coming, as it has passed LN on US Spotify. It depends on how fast it gains on Rhythmic and Urban (the adds are already there), but fukumean is eventually going to reach #1 on the Hot 100.

I doubt it will be that long. Drake & Travis are coming in the next weeks

[pride4jc1222]

2 minutes ago, KatyPrismSpirit said:

I doubt it will be that long. Drake & Travis are coming in the next weeks

Unless Drake's album has a viral hit like In My Feelings, I don't see it getting more than one week at #1 on the Hot 100. Remember, Last Night has already blocked the lead single (Search & Rescue) from hitting #1. And this is not even accounting for the fact that Drake hasn't announced the date his album is going to drop. He could drop the album tomorrow, or he could drop it in October (when Last Night is no longer #1 on the Hot 100). You never know with Drake anymore.

 

As for Travis Scott, he may get a #1 on the BB 200, but there's no chance he beats out an established hit like LN on the Hot 100. The only #1 he got without the help of website sales (which no longer count on the Hot 100) is Sicko Mode. HitR and Franchise got to #1 because of website sales gimmicks, and that's before his image took a hit with the Astroworld fiasco. 

[simplywohoo]

i‘m kinda shook that olivia is supposed to drop by 35 % in week 2 and even moreso nobody mentioned it 

[BuzzCharts]

1 hour ago, simplywohoo said:

i‘m kinda shook that olivia is supposed to drop by 35 % in week 2 and even moreso nobody mentioned it 

She sold vinyls for the first week so it’s not surprising.  The streaming has been stable this week. 

[simplywohoo]

3 minutes ago, BuzzCharts said:

She sold vinyls for the first week so it’s not surprising.  The streaming has been stable this week. 

oh okay thx 

[QueenofCopyPaste]

I'm confident that Olivia's album focus single will definitely be #1 at September 

 

I dont she has upcoming competition by that month yet

Edited July 13, 2023 by QueenofCopyPaste

[simmnfierzig]

 

2 hours ago, BuzzCharts said:

She sold vinyls for the first week so it’s not surprising.  The streaming has been stable this week. 

It's down 32% for the first 6 days on US Spotify.... 

Taylor release has hurt her a bit and it obviously wasnt going to be stable with the first day being almost 4 million

 

4 hours ago, simplywohoo said:

i‘m kinda shook that olivia is supposed to drop by 35 % in week 2 and even moreso nobody mentioned it 

That's not really a big drop 

[BuzzCharts]

22 minutes ago, simmnfierzig said:

 

It's down 32% for the first 6 days on US Spotify.... 

Taylor release has hurt her a bit and it obviously wasnt going to be stable with the first day being almost 4 million

 

That's not really a big drop 

Stable as in it hasn’t moved much since Monday.  It was obvious after the third day it wasn’t going to stabilize like a G4U situation. 

Edited July 13, 2023 by BuzzCharts

[pride4jc1222]

On why Fast Car is unlikely to reach #1 on the Hot 100:

 

Fast Car might peak on radio before Last Night. FC is on max spins at country at the moment, so it's going to start dropping on that format soon. Also, its ascent on Pop is being aided by the fact that it's the cover of a song that has more pop roots. On the other hand, while Last Night has already topped country, it is still on a very slow and steady climb at Pop radio, which negates any losses on country radio, thus allowing it to remain pretty much constant on overall radio.

 

If FC ever gets ahead of LN on radio, it will be by a small gap, which amounts to very few Hot 100 points. FC has a lot of work to do to close the streaming gap to even get it into position to challenge for the #1 on the Hot 100.

[spree]

7 hours ago, simplywohoo said:

i‘m kinda shook that olivia is supposed to drop by 35 % in week 2 and even moreso nobody mentioned it 

She has no identity.  

[Ger]

1 hour ago, pride4jc1222 said:

On why Fast Car is unlikely to reach #1 on the Hot 100:

 

Fast Car might peak on radio before Last Night. FC is on max spins at country at the moment, so it's going to start dropping on that format soon. Also, its ascent on Pop is being aided by the fact that it's the cover of a song that has more pop roots. On the other hand, while Last Night has already topped country, it is still on a very slow and steady climb at Pop radio, which negates any losses on country radio, thus allowing it to remain pretty much constant on overall radio.

 

If FC ever gets ahead of LN on radio, it will be by a small gap, which amounts to very few Hot 100 points. FC has a lot of work to do to close the streaming gap to even get it into position to challenge for the #1 on the Hot 100.

FC is definetely not going to drop like a rock on the Country format like some payola'd song, it is an effortlessly smash, which was also pushed to Country radio due to the huge demand, even with his country single being "Love You Anyway". The title is also fresh for Country standars, there's a lot of life left for the upcoming weeks. One positive thing about FC is that it is probably going to perform better on HAC, and for sure on AC. Dubious on Pop, since I hardly see them supporting two Country songs big time at the same time. 

 

Nevertheless, I lowkey agree with you when you say it's probably not going to top the Hot 100, unless big stremaing increases come.

[Green]

I Can See You top 5 

 

 

[corotinho]

19 minutes ago, Green said:

I Can See You top 5 

 

 

lol so Flowers will lose it's spot on top5?

[Steve Johnson]

28 minutes ago, Green said:

I Can See You top 5 

 

 

Top 5 

[fridayteenage]

given what happened earlier this year, the new bts song would be a lock for a #1 debut if not for the rule change. it'll be interesting to see where it debuts without webstore boost.

[TrieLz]

3 hours ago, fridayteenage said:

given what happened earlier this year, the new bts song would be a lock for a #1 debut if not for the rule change. it'll be interesting to see where it debuts without webstore boost.

Seven has physical CDs sales & 2 version on iTunes (clean ver & explicit ver)  + the instrumental version (if we count that too so there’s 3 versions)

 

Take Two sold around 29k sales with only 1 version and no physical (but with webstore boost),

 

so I think Seven will double that numbers. Maybe around 60k sales and with the additional from Youtube streams (Take Two doesn’t have MVs) that’s enough for a Top 10 debut on hot 100 (also depend on the spotify numbers, it could challenge #1 if the spotify numbers are good.

[pride4jc1222]

Updated predictions: 

 

[LastKiss]

If Taylor manages to have 3 songs from different albums each in the top 10 

[rac7d]

 

[rac7d]

On 7/13/2023 at 4:26 AM, mystery said:

Dance The Night would be rising again if not for the Speak Now bomb. Wonder how the movie will help the Barbie songs. 

I think the ken son might go viral 

[rac7d]

On 7/13/2023 at 2:22 PM, spree said:

She has no identity.  

She only got the number 1 cuz everyone wanted LN to loose so here he is back at the top