Early Predictions: Vampire #1 , 300 pts , 40m streams. Dethrones Last Night

[Roberto]

Miley, Selena, Taylor and Olivia in the top 10 tho. 

[pride4jc1222]

13 minutes ago, Ger-55 said:

Taylor is probably scoring another #1 hit next week with the SN (TV) release.

Actually, I think Cruel Summer will chart higher than any song on SN (TV). CS is just too strong right now.

 

And if Drake releases the album on Friday, SN (TV) will miss the #1 on the BB 200.

[brianc33710]

6 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Actually, I think Cruel Summer will chart higher than any song on SN (TV). CS is just too strong right now.

 

And if Drake releases the album on Friday, SN (TV) will miss the #1 on the BB 200.

I wouldn't be so sure about Drake blocking SNTV from #1 on the BB200. He's slipped a bit while Swift has grown with her tour. I'm not saying he won't be #1 but him hitting #1 isn't as certain as it was a year ago. If anything he might delay a week so he doesn't compete with SNTVs debut.

[simmnfierzig]

13 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Actually, I think Cruel Summer will chart higher than any song on SN (TV). CS is just too strong right now.

 

And if Drake releases the album on Friday, SN (TV) will miss the #1 on the BB 200.

There is no chance Drake would block Taylor with her physicals.

But also no chance of them releasing on the same day.

 

How the streaming goes we will see. She probably will release a video too. Cruel Summer being higher would surprise me a bit, but idk about #1

 

 

[Sazare]

Hope vampire stays at number one for some time! It’s excellent.

[Ivan_brit]

Gooooo Vampire

[brianc33710]

9 minutes ago, simmnfierzig said:

There is no chance Drake would block Taylor with her physicals.

But also no chance of them releasing on the same day.

 

How the streaming goes we will see. She probably will release a video too. Cruel Summer being higher would surprise me a bit, but idk about #1

 

 

Has Swift hinted at what SNTV song she plans to push upon SNTVs release? She's added some "from the vault" songs with every rerelease.

[simmnfierzig]

5 minutes ago, brianc33710 said:

Has Swift hinted at what SNTV song she plans to push upon SNTVs release? She's added some "from the vault" songs with every rerelease.

Nope

 

We know the 6 vault track titles and the 2 features on them (Hayley Williams and Fall Out Boy) , but thats all

[Green]

1 hour ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Actually, I think Cruel Summer will chart higher than any song on SN (TV). CS is just too strong right now.

 

And if Drake releases the album on Friday, SN (TV) will miss the #1 on the BB 200.

 

The last Taylor Version debuted with 600k units so I really doubt that

[JoeAg]

I wish Jaded was smashing instead of still Flowers lol

[JoeAg]

but yayyyy Olivia!!  get it queen, i hope she gets multiple weeks she totally deserves ittttt

 

I def wanna see some Taylor at #1 too soon aaaaaa two iconic artists!!

 

no more Wargan pls thx

[TrieLz]

1 hour ago, Ger-55 said:

Taylor is probably scoring another #1 hit next week with the SN (TV) release.

I doubt if any song from SN TV will have 290+ points with the current rules. 

 

but agree if Cruel Summer will have a huge boost next week and could hit top 3 maybe?

[brianc33710]

I think that Vampire will finish the chart week with 350 points, about 60 over Last Night. Olivia definitely has the "stanbase" advantage over Morgan, even though he may have/probably has the bigger overall fanbase. And I can't help but think Swift, with the biggest fanbase & stanbase in the music industry, won't get at least 1 #1 week with a SNTV song. After that I don't know what will happen.

[corotinho]

I don’t think vampire streaming numbers will be that high. I mean, it is already behind Calm Down on Youtube

https://twitter.com/portalselenabr/status/1675595264088743940?s=46&t=fVXwOxb6iT2eVI9mpLCMCw

[Lovett]

41 minutes ago, corotinho said:

I don’t think vampire streaming numbers will be that high. I mean, it is already behind Calm Down on Youtube

https://twitter.com/portalselenabr/status/1675595264088743940?s=46&t=fVXwOxb6iT2eVI9mpLCMCw

YouTube is a dead platform, that's hardly indicative of anything. Especially considering its stellar second day hold on Spotify.

[By the Water]

Imagine thinking Drake would dare release on the same day as Taylor let alone block her 

 

Anyway, hope Karma pulls through

[BuzzCharts]

1 hour ago, corotinho said:

I don’t think vampire streaming numbers will be that high. I mean, it is already behind Calm Down on Youtube

https://twitter.com/portalselenabr/status/1675595264088743940?s=46&t=fVXwOxb6iT2eVI9mpLCMCw

Using iTunes or YouTube in 2023 is pointless.  She’s still rising on AM

[pride4jc1222]

3 hours ago, brianc33710 said:

I think that Vampire will finish the chart week with 350 points, about 60 over Last Night. Olivia definitely has the "stanbase" advantage over Morgan, even though he may have the bigger overall fanbase. And I can't help but think Swift, with the biggest fanbase & stanbase in the music industry, won't get at least 1 #1 week with a SNTV song. After that I don't know what will happen.

I expect Last Night to be #1 more weeks than not until Cruel Summer eventually surpasses it. CS feels like this year’s Truth Hurts, and that one spent 7 weeks at #1 on the Hot 100.

The Drake album release is the obvious wild card. Barring something going viral a la In My Feelings, I don’t see Drake getting more than one week at #1. After all, Drake’s lead (Search and Rescue) got blocked by Morgan.

[Bosque]

On 7/1/2023 at 5:44 PM, Sinister said:

This puts into perspective just how huge Last Night is. I mean, it’s had like a 100 pt gap between the #2 song on the Hot 100 consistently, but the fact that Olivia’s lead is barely outdoing it is actually insane

 

ppl have been trying to act like it’s not massive, but it clearly is

It has been #1 for over a dozen weeks, how could anyone with a brain claim that it is not massive? still an awful song though

[Bosque]

6 hours ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Actually, I think Cruel Summer will chart higher than any song on SN (TV). CS is just too strong right now.

 

And if Drake releases the album on Friday, SN (TV) will miss the #1 on the BB 200.

No it won't. Drake blocking her isn't even in the realm of logical possibilities 

 

  

3 hours ago, corotinho said:

I don’t think vampire streaming numbers will be that high. I mean, it is already behind Calm Down on Youtube

https://twitter.com/portalselenabr/status/1675595264088743940?s=46&t=fVXwOxb6iT2eVI9mpLCMCw

Calm Down is much bigger globally which is the only thing that matters on Youtube. This is an irrelevant metric for Hot 100. Vampire is holding on well and still ahead of LN on Apple, I think #1 is guaranteed 

Edited July 3, 2023 by Dephira

[Jude]

#1 on lock.

 

[georgechxng]

seems like they're undersestimating her sales tho. i remember seeing some tweets a few weeks ago that the stock of vinyls for the single in her website was 14k and it was sold out in 2 days so i think she's probably gonna have +20k sales. 

[khalyan]

I’m not a huge fan of vampire but I am so here if it goes #1 and prevents Morgan from returning to the top for a few weeks until another worthy #1 comes along 

[Sinister]

45 minutes ago, Dephira said:

It has been #1 for over a dozen weeks, how could anyone with a brain claim that it is not massive? still an awful song though

Ppl have saying it doesn’t feel like a song that’s double digits

[305]

Cruel Summer wow, the smash that you are!