discussion 95th Academy Awards

[Dark Phoenix]

The Fabelmans was amazing, it has that magic cinema dust it felt timeless and an instant classic, I feel like I enjoyed more that than EEAAO I honestly doesn’t see the Academy embracing and going crazy for EEAAO, the more time that it past the more I feel like it had gaps and it was messy like a gay fever dream surely they won’t enjoy the dild0s and other references, I guess only Michelle with get a nom and maybe JLC for BSA or the husband for BSA.

[Almodusa]

Gotham Award noms in 50 minutes

 

 

[MAXIMO]

They LOVE Tár. Cate is coming hard. 

[Gui Blackout]

Aftersun getting the love, let's gooo

[hausofdave]

-Woman Talking missing Picture
-Foy and Hsu missing Supporting Performance
-EEAAO missing Screenplay
-TÁR overperforming after being labelled as cold & inaccessible 

[Hector]

Gotham full nominations:

 

Outstanding supporting performance
Mark Rylance (“Bones and All”)
Brian Tyree Henry (“Causeway”)
Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)
Raúl Castillo (“The Inspection”)
Gabrielle Union (“The Inspection”)
Nina Hoss (“Tár”)
Noémie Merlant (“Tár”)
Hong Chau (“The Whale”)

Oustanding lead performance
Cate Blanchett (“Tár”)
Danielle Deadwyler (“Till”)
Dale Dickey (“A Love Song”)
Colin Farrell (“After Yang”)
Brendan Fraser (“The Whale”)
Paul Mescal (“Aftersun”)
Thandiwe Newton (“God’s Country”)
Aubrey Plaza “(Emily the Criminal)” 
Taylor Russell (“Bones and All”)
Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere All At Once”)

Best international feature
“Athena”
“The Banshees of Inisherin”
“Corsage”
“Decision to Leave”
“Happening”
“Saint Omer”

Best documentary feature
“All That Breathes”
“All the Beauty and the Bloodshed”
“I Didn’t See You There”
“The Territory”
“What We Leave Behind”

Best feature
“Aftersun”
“The Cathedral”
“Dos Estaciones”
“Everything Everywhere All at Once”
“Tár”

Breakthrough director
Owen Kline (“Funny Pages”)
Elegance Bratton (“The Inspection”)
Antoneta Alamat Kusijanovic (“Murina”)
Beth De Araújo (“Soft & Quiet”)
Jane Schoenbrun (“We’re All Going to the World’s Fair”)

Best screenplay
Kogonada (“After Yang”)
James Gray (“Armageddon Time”)
Lena Dunham (“Catherine Called Birdy”)
Todd Field (“Tár”)
Sarah Polley (“Women Talking”)

Breakthrough performer
Frankie Corio (“Aftersun”)
Kali Reis (“Catch the Fair One”)
Gracija Flipovic (“Murina”)
Anna Diop (“Nanny”)
Anna Cobb (“We’re All Going to the World’s Fair”)

[fridayteenage]

gotham is kinda meaningless for oscars tbh.

 

miss juneteenth beat nomadland/minari for actress.

 

and they ignored scarlett for marriage story and instead got:

Awkwafina as Billi Wang – The Farewell

Elisabeth Moss as Becky Something – Her Smell

Mary Kay Place as Diane – Diane

Florence Pugh as Dani Ardor – Midsommar

Alfre Woodard as Warden Bernadine Williams – Clemency

[Universo]

from that list i can see Deadwyler, Blanchett, Fraser, Yeoh & maybe Mescal making it on BA

and Wishaw, Buckley and maybe Chau/Rylance on BSA

[McNulty]

Babylon is committing category fraud

 

[Hector]

Weird,  I thought the story revolved more around Diego Calva than Brad?! Good that they'll keep Margot in lead.

[fridayteenage]

2 hours ago, Hector said:

Weird,  I thought the story revolved more around Diego Calva than Brad?! Good that they'll keep Margot in lead.

per screentimecentral, 21stc's biggest screentime differences between a "supporting" performance who's more prominent than a lead performance:

 

The Favourite (2018)

Emma Stone over Olivia Colman

Difference - 7:32 / 6.31%

 

Carol (2015)

Rooney Mara over Cate Blanchett

Difference - 5:52 / 4.96%

The Hours (2002)

Julianne Moore over Nicole Kidman

Difference - 4:11 / 3.65%

[Euterpe]

4 hours ago, McNulty said:

Babylon is committing category fraud

 

I think they felt the backlash, because this isn't up anymore.

[Lovett]

[fridayteenage]

 

well, tar is no In the Bedroom (another film by todd), which managed $36 mil in the US and came super close to winning Best Actress. Winner Monster's Ball made $31 mil.

[Green]

Is it to late for White Michelle to switch?

 

We could get a Mark Rylance/Mark Ruffalo moment at the Oscars with Best Actress

 

 

 

I also need Jamie Lee Curtis to finally get an Oscar nomination

[Dark Phoenix]

So I got to see:

 

-Decision to leave 

-Aftersun

-Armageddon time

-Close

-The Menu

-Corsage

-Triangle of Sadness

-The Fabelmans

 

And my ideas as to what could get a nom:

 

-The Fabelmans was amazing and felt like a very round and polished film, if WSS got 8 noms this has the same chance coming for Best Actress and even Best Actor for teenage Spielberg, Original Screenplay, Director, Picture, Soundtrack.

 

-The Menu was great honestly and it could get a nom for Screenplay at least.

 

-Corsage was great and could land Best International Picture along with Best Actress for Vicki Krieps.

 

-Close was beautiful I wish the kid actor will get a BA nom and also Best International film.

 

-Aftersun was kinda meh, it’s not getting best Director, Picture and not even Actor since Paul doesn’t do a lot.

 

-Armageddon Time Can give Hopkins a nom for Best Supporting Actor.

 

That’s it.

[Reverse Warholian]

Is Aubrey Plaza coming?

[Konril]

Miss Blanchett really coming huh? 

[Konril]

Wait, why is JLC surging in the odds for BSA? Is it because she's a veteran and has an overdue nomination narrative? I love her but Hsu ate her up in EEAAO, she was integral to the core emotions of the movie.

[Antisocialites]

JLC is desperate to get that nom. Her performance in EEAAO was bad.

[Liafen]

I see someone is already bothered that Icon Cate could very much likely join Legend Frances and that other actress in the 3-timers* club 
 

*not counting Multitalented Legend’s producing win for Nomadland

[Broken]

Babylon is 3+ hours long? 

 

Good luck, box office POISON Margot Robbie.

[Euterpe]

2 minutes ago, Broken said:

Babylon is 3+ hours long? 

 

Good luck, box office POISON Margot Robbie.

I feel like Babylon might not make it into many categories at this rate, not with the competition.

[fridayteenage]

4 hours ago, Liafen said:

I see someone is already bothered that Icon Cate could very much likely join

if they wanna celebrate a movie that perpetuates the Predatory Lesbian trope and is lowkey racist against Asians, they'll just show they're the same people who would prefer giving an acting Oscar to yellowface than acknowledging Asians' existence in the category.

 

a win for you?

[ALittleGauche]

Saw Tar and it was pretty messy.

 

It was in the same vein as mother!, Whiplash, and Black Swan, involving a complex, flawed protagonist that unravels throughout the movie. Whereas the aforementioned movies have equally satisfying buildup and consequent explosion, this one lacks the latter. It gave me movie blue balls. There were also inconsistencies in the character portrayal, with my confusion only exacerbated by excessively long dialogues ridden with jargon and unintelligible accented mumbling. Cate Blanchett gave a standard performance, but she wasn’t given a chance to give more. The ending is also a doozy—a complete 180 from the rest of the film in terms of tone (and again, characterization) which left me with a “wtf?” feeling overall.

 

I can’t imagine Oscar voters being passionate to vote for Cate for her second Oscar in a movie with mixed reviews that will not have been seen by a lot of people, over Michelle Yeoh gunning for her first Oscar in a movie that was universally loved by both audiences and critics that made records during peak pandemic. From a technical standpoint alone, outside politics and history, Michelle served total body acting, whereas Cate gave a standard performance. 
 

Michelle will still win this. Momentum will swing back in her favour.