official chart Billboard Charts (January 29 - February 4, 2017)

[simmnfierzig]

1 minute ago, Mr. Adele said:

Oh, sorry, I missed your post 

So thats it for Water Under the Bridge? If Adele does 0 promo the song has no chance to repeak?

Probably, yeah.

[onething]

1. Ed Sheeran - Shape Of You (+1) (2nd week atop)

16. The Weeknd Feat. Daft Punk - I Feel It Coming (+2)

24. Clean Bandit Feat. Sean Paul & Anne-Marie - Rockabye (+8)

29. James Arthur - Say You Won't Let Go (+2)

37. Marian Hill - Down (+15)

64. Julia Michaels - Issues (+23)

 

 

Does "Human" by Rag'N'Bone Man stand any chance to debut on BB next week?

[simmnfierzig]

1 minute ago, onething said:

Does "Human" by Rag'N'Bone Man stand any chance to debut on BB next week?

It doesn't seem close, no. 

[kwek_kwek]

34 minutes ago, simmnfierzig said:

This week?

If have it at not even half the point off #1 

 

There isn't enough radio in the world to close that gap. Would need to sell more and stream a lot more.

Ah ok. Lol. Not good on this. Sorry. ☹️☹️

[simmnfierzig]

12 minutes ago, DangerousSwiftie said:

Wow at Million Reasons going top 10.  Truly a sales smash. 

 

Do you think it will maintain any of this momentum, or is it basically done after this week?

Would think it's a 1 week thing

[Assassin]

8 hours ago, simmnfierzig said:

Full early predictions

Don't have a good feel yet for how high sales are weighted in the new formula. So I was underestimating Million Reasons a bit.

 

1 Shape Of You        520  (=)

2 Bad And Boujee        451  (=)

3 I Don't Wanna Live Forever        406  (=)

4 Bad Things        289  (=)

5 Closer        260  (=)

6 Bounce Back        259 (+9)  

7 Scars To Your Beautiful        247 (+3)  

8 Million Reasons        244  (re-entry) *used 150k sales*

9 Paris        240  (+2)

10 Starboy        237  (-3)

11 Fake Love        235  (-3)

12 Don't Wanna Know        233 (-6)  

13 Love On The Brain        227  (+1)

14 Black Beatles        218  (-5)

15 Side To Side        216  (-2)

16 I Feel It Coming        205  (=)

17 24k Magic        204  (-5)

18 Caroline        196  (-1)

19 No Favors        173  (debut)

20 Let Me Love You        171  (-2)

 

Positions 21-100

  Reveal hidden contents

 

21 Mercy        165 (=)  

22 All Time Low        160 (-2)  

23 Rockabye        158  (+1)

24 Body Like A Back Road 155 (+14)

25 T-Shirt        155  (-4)

26 Say You Won't Let Go        148  (+3)

27 Can't Stop The Feeling        146  (-5)

28 iSpy        141  (-1)

29 Water Under The Bridge        138  (-1)

30 Heathens        136  (-7)

31 Treat You Better        126 (+1)  

32 This Town        126  (-7)

33 Moves        125  (+41)

34 Cheap Thrills        125 (-4) 

35 Broccoli        123  (-4)

36 Starving        121  (-10)

37 Down        121  (=)

38 Don't Let Me Down        118  (-2)

39 That's What I Like        114  (+18)

40 Better Man        113  (-6)

 

41 Love Me Now        110  (-6)

42 Make Me (Cry)        104  (+4)

43 Juju On That Beat        101  (-10)

44 Party          99  (=)

45 Congratulations          96  (-6)

46 Believer          95  (debut)

47 Issues          95  (+17)

48 Both          95  (+3)

49 The Greatest          93 (-9) 

50 X          92  (-1)

51 Location          92 (+9)  

52 Deja Vu          90  (-5)

53 I Got You          89  (+6)

54 Seein Red          87  (+2)

55 Star Of The Show          87 (-10)  

56 Dirt On My Boots          87  (-13)

57 Castle On The Hill          84  (-7)

58 Goosebumps          84  (+9)

59 Way Down We Go          84  (+4)

60 HandClap          83  (-7)

 

61 Used To This          83  (-7)

62 Sacrifices          83  (debut)

63 Party Monster          80  (-8)

64 Halfway Off The Balcony          79 (debut) 

65 A Guy With A Girl          75  (-13)

66 Jump Out The Window          74 (debut) 

67 Play That Song          74  (-26)

68 Chantaje          74  (-3)

69 Sober Saturday Night          70  (+1)

70 Despacito          69  (-9)

71 Swang          69  (+5)

72 Think A Little Less          66  (-4)

73 Owe Me          66  (debut)

74 Selfish          64  (+4)

75 Light          64  (debut)

76 No Heart          62  (-3)

77 How Far I'll Go Alessia          62  (=)

78 Call On Me          61  (+4)

79 Fast          61  (+7)

80 The Weekend          60  (-11)

 

81 Guys My Age          59  (+6)

82 Not Nice          59  (+1)

83 Today          59  (-2)

84 Voices In My Head          59  (debut)

85 Kill A Word          57  (-5)

86 OTW          55  (+6)

87 Wanna Be That Song          53  (-2)

88 80s Mercedes          53  (+3)

89 If The Boot Fits          53  (-5)

90 Road Less Traveled          53 (-10)  

91 How Far I'll Go Auli'l          52  (-16)

92 Any Ol Barstool          51  (+4)

93 El Amante 51 (+6)

94 Bigger Than Me          50  (debut)

95 Dirty Laundry          50  (-5)

96 Slippery          50  (-48)

97 Same Time Pt.1          49 (debut)  

98 Redbone          47  (-4)

99 Now And Later          46 (re-entry)  

100 Sunday Morning Jetpack          46 (debut)  

 

Others

 

Run Up 45

Yeah Boy 44

Scared To Be Lonely 43

Sex With Me 41

Say It 40

 

 

Alessia coming for her 2nd top 5

[simmnfierzig]

2 minutes ago, Assassin said:

Alessia coming for her 2nd top 5

Certainly not

[Assassin]

1 minute ago, simmnfierzig said:

Certainly not

aww. oh well, I am happy with her getting another top 10

[Sylar]

On 2/6/2017 at 3:36 AM, Sylar said:

Gaga is coming for top 10, right?

 

On 2/6/2017 at 3:40 AM, simmnfierzig said:

No?

 

On 2/6/2017 at 3:43 AM, Sylar said:

Chances in %?

 

On 2/6/2017 at 3:45 AM, simmnfierzig said:

10%?

Airplay will not increase and streaming we will see. Would need a crazy jump on Spotify tomorrow-

24 hours later....

 

9 hours ago, simmnfierzig said:

Full early predictions

Don't have a good feel yet for how high sales are weighted in the new formula. So I was underestimating Million Reasons a bit.

 

1 Shape Of You        520  (=)

2 Bad And Boujee        451  (=)

3 I Don't Wanna Live Forever        406  (=)

4 Bad Things        289  (=)

5 Closer        260  (=)

6 Bounce Back        259 (+9)  

7 Scars To Your Beautiful        247 (+3)  

8 Million Reasons        244  (re-entry) *used 150k sales*

9 Paris        240  (+2)

10 Starboy        237  (-3)

11 Fake Love        235  (-3)

12 Don't Wanna Know        233 (-6)  

13 Love On The Brain        227  (+1)

14 Black Beatles        218  (-5)

15 Side To Side        216  (-2)

16 I Feel It Coming        205  (=)

17 24k Magic        204  (-5)

18 Caroline        196  (-1)

19 No Favors        173  (debut)

20 Let Me Love You        171  (-2)

 

Positions 21-100

  Reveal hidden contents

 

21 Mercy        165 (=)  

22 All Time Low        160 (-2)  

23 Rockabye        158  (+1)

24 Body Like A Back Road 155 (+14)

25 T-Shirt        155  (-4)

26 Say You Won't Let Go        148  (+3)

27 Can't Stop The Feeling        146  (-5)

28 iSpy        141  (-1)

29 Water Under The Bridge        138  (-1)

30 Heathens        136  (-7)

31 Treat You Better        126 (+1)  

32 This Town        126  (-7)

33 Moves        125  (+41)

34 Cheap Thrills        125 (-4) 

35 Broccoli        123  (-4)

36 Starving        121  (-10)

37 Down        121  (=)

38 Don't Let Me Down        118  (-2)

39 That's What I Like        114  (+18)

40 Better Man        113  (-6)

 

41 Love Me Now        110  (-6)

42 Make Me (Cry)        104  (+4)

43 Juju On That Beat        101  (-10)

44 Party          99  (=)

45 Congratulations          96  (-6)

46 Believer          95  (debut)

47 Issues          95  (+17)

48 Both          95  (+3)

49 The Greatest          93 (-9) 

50 X          92  (-1)

51 Location          92 (+9)  

52 Deja Vu          90  (-5)

53 I Got You          89  (+6)

54 Seein Red          87  (+2)

55 Star Of The Show          87 (-10)  

56 Dirt On My Boots          87  (-13)

57 Castle On The Hill          84  (-7)

58 Goosebumps          84  (+9)

59 Way Down We Go          84  (+4)

60 HandClap          83  (-7)

 

61 Used To This          83  (-7)

62 Sacrifices          83  (debut)

63 Party Monster          80  (-8)

64 Halfway Off The Balcony          79 (debut) 

65 A Guy With A Girl          75  (-13)

66 Jump Out The Window          74 (debut) 

67 Play That Song          74  (-26)

68 Chantaje          74  (-3)

69 Sober Saturday Night          70  (+1)

70 Despacito          69  (-9)

71 Swang          69  (+5)

72 Think A Little Less          66  (-4)

73 Owe Me          66  (debut)

74 Selfish          64  (+4)

75 Light          64  (debut)

76 No Heart          62  (-3)

77 How Far I'll Go Alessia          62  (=)

78 Call On Me          61  (+4)

79 Fast          61  (+7)

80 The Weekend          60  (-11)

 

81 Guys My Age          59  (+6)

82 Not Nice          59  (+1)

83 Today          59  (-2)

84 Voices In My Head          59  (debut)

85 Kill A Word          57  (-5)

86 OTW          55  (+6)

87 Wanna Be That Song          53  (-2)

88 80s Mercedes          53  (+3)

89 If The Boot Fits          53  (-5)

90 Road Less Traveled          53 (-10)  

91 How Far I'll Go Auli'l          52  (-16)

92 Any Ol Barstool          51  (+4)

93 El Amante 51 (+6)

94 Bigger Than Me          50  (debut)

95 Dirty Laundry          50  (-5)

96 Slippery          50  (-48)

97 Same Time Pt.1          49 (debut)  

98 Redbone          47  (-4)

99 Now And Later          46 (re-entry)  

100 Sunday Morning Jetpack          46 (debut)  

 

Others

 

Run Up 45

Yeah Boy 44

Scared To Be Lonely 43

Sex With Me 41

Say It 40

 

 

 

8 hours ago, simmnfierzig said:

I put the sales estimate 30k lower than what kworb has 

 

And #25 on Spotify today is not bad at all. Think the 5 million overall streaming I estimated is fairly conservative too. Top 10 seems very certain tbh.