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Hot 100 new predictions: Rockstar #1, ROM #6, Sour Candy #31

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54 minutes ago, Temporal said:

There've been multiple songs this year that have debuted No. 1 and dropped out of the Top 10, so

 

stable :clap3: 

Which songs?

Obtaining multiple weeks in the top 10 after debuting #1 is a big achievement in 2020. Congratulations to Ariana :clap3: 

Edited by Kylizzle

savage could possibly be #1 and it doesn't even have a VIDEO. song of the summer. we can easily see what singles were front loaded based on the fallinggggg

1 hour ago, bayonse said:

after 1 day of tracking? that'd be great

top 15 next week

This is for the full week :skull: still great for a promo single

 

Everyone is trying to compete with hold it against me.

The standard.

tTVCcfl.gif

 

Good for Ariana and gaga though

dc5ZvYU.gif

1 hour ago, friedrice said:

omg falling from #1-#6? that's falling 600% whereas daisies only fell from #40 to #79, which is 97.5% katy rly won huh?

giphy.gif

 

 

3 minutes ago, sickoagb said:

This is for the full week :skull: still great for a promo single

 

Yeah but it lost 1 day (strongest day) because it was released like nearly a day before the album.

1 hour ago, Insanity said:

Hopefully it stays in Top 10 a while

It will be out of top10 in 2 weeks, but it will stay in top 25 for a while.

 

The way I thought it was Post Malone’s Rockstar I was about to have a meltdown 

1 hour ago, friedrice said:

omg falling from #1-#6? that's falling 600% whereas daisies only fell from #40 to #79, which is 97.5% katy rly won huh?

John Mulaney Delta Airlines Gif - United Airlines and Travelling

42 minutes ago, eduxedu said:

yall pretending that wasnt expecting a 2nd week at #1:ahh:

 

Yeah that was before Gaga and Ariana stopped promoting  all together and instead focused on the blm movement, but go off

55 minutes ago, istan4badgalriri said:

The difference being that this one had an album release to boost it during week 2.

tenor.gif 

 

48 minutes ago, BabyCantYouSee said:

Which songs?

Stuck With U and The Scotts, Heartless broke the drop record back in December on top of that as well

6 minutes ago, Temporal said:

tenor.gif 

 

Stuck With U and The Scotts, Heartless broke the drop record back in December on top of that as well

Was it always like this or have they changed their Hot 100 formula recently? I'm pretty sure like 2-3 years ago every #1 would stay at the top for weeks. :rip:

48 minutes ago, BabyCantYouSee said:

Was it always like this or have they changed their Hot 100 formula recently? I'm pretty sure like 2-3 years ago every #1 would stay at the top for weeks. :rip:

I think it's because first week bundles like signed vinyls and merch bundles have become more of the norm the past ~2 years, single sales are also weighted more heavily than they were in the past so they're quite effective. I don't know if that was true for The Scotts but it was true for Rain On Me and Stuck With U (which, to their credit, both had solid streaming figures)

 

Other songs have descended pretty quickly from No. 1 in the past like the American Idol winners singles, Hold It Against Me and This Is America, but the number of songs going No. 1 then dropping immediately out of the Top 10 with this frequency is a new phenomenon for sure

54 minutes ago, BabyCantYouSee said:

Was it always like this or have they changed their Hot 100 formula recently? I'm pretty sure like 2-3 years ago every #1 would stay at the top for weeks. :rip:

Heartless, The Scotts & SWU mainly went #1 thanks to store bundles, that’s why they all fell like a rock the next week.

 

ROM is falling a bit because it never had a radio deal so the AI updates aren’t so big. It’s doing great on sales/streaming

Edited by TalkThatRihanna

I can’t believe we’re on to another #1 and it’s 6 different songs in 6 different weeks. I haven’t seen chart movement like this since 2010

8 minutes ago, Temporal said:

I think it's because first week bundles like signed vinyls and merch bundles have become more of the norm the past ~2 years, single sales are also weighted more heavily than they were in the past so they're quite effective. I don't know if that was true for The Scotts but it was true for Rain On Me and Stuck With U (which, to their credit, both had solid streaming figures)

 

Other songs have descended pretty quickly from No. 1 in the past like the American Idol winners singles, Hold It Against Me and This Is America, but the number of songs going No. 1 then dropping immediately out of the Top 10 with this frequency is a new phenomenon for sure

 

6 minutes ago, TalkThatRihanna said:

Heartless, The Scotts & SWU mainly went #1 thanks to store bundles, that’s why they all fell like a rock the next week.

 

ROM is falling a bit because it never had a radio deal to the AI Updated aren’t so big. It’s doing great on sales/streaming

I think these Billboard stats are going to become less relevant if they stop representing what's actually most popular. It makes no sense to make single sales count more when most music listeners are primarily streaming and the bundles situation has turned the music industry into a joke.

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