ATRL - Movie: 'Battleship' US performance predictions

Duca · , 11:58 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Nicole

Tracking Snapshot on 4/12/2012 for General Moviegoers
SEGMENT: TOTAL SAMPLE
TT : M- : M+ : F- : F+
The Cabin In The Woods(4/13/2012)
UA : 14 : 15 : 14 : 14 : 11
TA : 68 : 73 : 71 : 68 : 62
Def: 31 : 34 : 26 : 35 : 28
FC : 05 : 05 : 07 : 04 : 03
Lockout(4/13/2012)
UA : 08 : 08 : 08 : 07 : 07
TA : 44 : 54 : 55 : 33 : 36
Def: 28 : 31 : 31 : 19 : 28
FC : 02 : 02 : 03 : 01 : 02
The Three Stooges(4/13/2012)
UA : 15 : 13 : 18 : 12 : 16
TA : 88 : 87 : 90 : 87 : 88
Def: 28 : 34 : 33 : 23 : 23
FC : 07 : 08 : 10 : 03 : 08
Disneynature's Chimpanzee(4/20/2012)
UA : 02 : 02 : 01 : 01 : 02
TA : 50 : 44 : 45 : 53 : 58
Def: 23 : 16 : 24 : 19 : 32
FC : 03 : 01 : 03 : 04 : 05
The Lucky One(4/20/2012)
UA : 05 : 02 : 01 : 12 : 05
TA : 64 : 58 : 50 : 79 : 69
Def: 30 : 13 : 15 : 49 : 35
FC : 06 : 03 : 01 : 16 : 06
Think Like a Man(4/20/2012)
UA : 05 : 04 : 03 : 04 : 08
TA : 49 : 50 : 46 : 51 : 47
Def: 37 : 35 : 35 : 40 : 39
FC : 06 : 05 : 04 : 08 : 07
The Five-Year Engagement(4/27/2012)
UA : 02 : 01 : 01 : 03 : 02
TA : 60 : 45 : 51 : 72 : 71
Def: 30 : 21 : 22 : 38 : 32
FC : 04 : 01 : 02 : 06 : 06
The Pirates! Band of Misfits(4/27/2012)
UA : 01 : 01 : 01 : 01 : 01
TA : 48 : 48 : 47 : 46 : 52
Def: 20 : 19 : 22 : 18 : 21
FC : 01 : 02 : 01 : 01 : 01
The Raven(4/27/2012)
UA : 03 : 02 : 02 : 03 : 04
TA : 56 : 59 : 62 : 49 : 54
Def: 33 : 32 : 29 : 36 : 38
FC : 03 : 03 : 03 : 03 : 05
Safe(4/27/2012)
UA : 02 : 02 : 02 : 01 : 01
TA : 36 : 37 : 46 : 31 : 31
Def: 33 : 32 : 43 : 29 : 24
FC : 01 : 01 : 02 : 01 : 01
The Avengers(5/4/2012)
UA : 13 : 16 : 15 : 11 : 09
TA : 84 : 90 : 88 : 74 : 83
Def: 61 : 73 : 71 : 48 : 50
FC : 24 : 34 : 32 : 13 : 16

I don't understand a thing there.

MrPeanut · , 11:59 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Nicole

I never use boxoffice.com. Are they reliable?

The analyst over there (Daniel Garris) is very good. He ran the (now defunct) BoxOfficeReport forums that I frequented back in 2001 before BoxOfficeMojo's forums made his site irrelevant. And now that the BOM forums were shut down all those members went over to the BoxOffice.com forums.

I'm convinced the all-time adjusted for inflation list he came up with for the site is much more accurate than what BoxOfficeMojo has.

Nicole · , 12:03 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Duca

I don't understand a thing there.

I need to save the explanation. I'm too lazy to type it again

QueenBLadyG · , 12:05 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Nicole

But it's so early. It usually tracks the next 3-4 weeks. Avengers just appeared in the tracking this week:

Tracking Snapshot on 4/12/2012 for General Moviegoers
SEGMENT: TOTAL SAMPLE
TT : M- : M+ : F- : F+
The Cabin In The Woods(4/13/2012)
UA : 14 : 15 : 14 : 14 : 11
TA : 68 : 73 : 71 : 68 : 62
Def: 31 : 34 : 26 : 35 : 28
FC : 05 : 05 : 07 : 04 : 03
Lockout(4/13/2012)
UA : 08 : 08 : 08 : 07 : 07
TA : 44 : 54 : 55 : 33 : 36
Def: 28 : 31 : 31 : 19 : 28
FC : 02 : 02 : 03 : 01 : 02
The Three Stooges(4/13/2012)
UA : 15 : 13 : 18 : 12 : 16
TA : 88 : 87 : 90 : 87 : 88
Def: 28 : 34 : 33 : 23 : 23
FC : 07 : 08 : 10 : 03 : 08
Disneynature's Chimpanzee(4/20/2012)
UA : 02 : 02 : 01 : 01 : 02
TA : 50 : 44 : 45 : 53 : 58
Def: 23 : 16 : 24 : 19 : 32
FC : 03 : 01 : 03 : 04 : 05
The Lucky One(4/20/2012)
UA : 05 : 02 : 01 : 12 : 05
TA : 64 : 58 : 50 : 79 : 69
Def: 30 : 13 : 15 : 49 : 35
FC : 06 : 03 : 01 : 16 : 06
Think Like a Man(4/20/2012)
UA : 05 : 04 : 03 : 04 : 08
TA : 49 : 50 : 46 : 51 : 47
Def: 37 : 35 : 35 : 40 : 39
FC : 06 : 05 : 04 : 08 : 07
The Five-Year Engagement(4/27/2012)
UA : 02 : 01 : 01 : 03 : 02
TA : 60 : 45 : 51 : 72 : 71
Def: 30 : 21 : 22 : 38 : 32
FC : 04 : 01 : 02 : 06 : 06
The Pirates! Band of Misfits(4/27/2012)
UA : 01 : 01 : 01 : 01 : 01
TA : 48 : 48 : 47 : 46 : 52
Def: 20 : 19 : 22 : 18 : 21
FC : 01 : 02 : 01 : 01 : 01
The Raven(4/27/2012)
UA : 03 : 02 : 02 : 03 : 04
TA : 56 : 59 : 62 : 49 : 54
Def: 33 : 32 : 29 : 36 : 38
FC : 03 : 03 : 03 : 03 : 05
Safe(4/27/2012)
UA : 02 : 02 : 02 : 01 : 01
TA : 36 : 37 : 46 : 31 : 31
Def: 33 : 32 : 43 : 29 : 24
FC : 01 : 01 : 02 : 01 : 01
The Avengers(5/4/2012)
UA : 13 : 16 : 15 : 11 : 09
TA : 84 : 90 : 88 : 74 : 83
Def: 61 : 73 : 71 : 48 : 50
FC : 24 : 34 : 32 : 13 : 16

I think expectations, budget, and the source material are the reasons for early tracking. I know it doesn't usually start so early though.

Crazy Lights · , 12:07 PM

I feel that Battleship will open in the $45-60 million range.

nader · , 12:07 PM

im going to c it tonight ( uk )

JasperX · , 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Duca

They have lower the prediction to

Opening Weekend: $46,000,000 [proj.] | Total Domestic Gross: $125,000,000 [pred.]

Duca · , 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Nicole

I need to save the explanation. I'm too lazy to type it again

I think I remember you explaining it to supaspaz once. Find me the link.

futurelove92 · , 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Duca

I don't understand a thing there.

!!!

Nicole · , 12:11 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Duca

I think I remember you explaining it to supaspaz once. Find me the link.

I wasn't too lazy to explain why Jennifer Aniston would flop with Wanderlust

http://atrl.net/forums/showthread.ph...2612&page=2#33

JasperX · , 12:15 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Nicole

I never use boxoffice.com. Are they reliable?

They are extremely reliable. Their prediction department evolves from former Box-Office Report site, which is one of the most accurate prediction sites before.

Boxoffice.com also gets exclusive film budget datas, such as actual film budget including production budget and marketing budget. By the way, they get information on worldwide weekend gross a lot faters than other sites.

EdgeOfAddiction · , 12:15 PM

I hope it does well domestically and internationally with a #1 opening

Quote:

Originally posted by Nicole

But it's so early. It usually tracks the next 3-4 weeks. Avengers just appeared in the tracking this week:

Tracking Snapshot on 4/12/2012 for General Moviegoers
SEGMENT: TOTAL SAMPLE
TT : M- : M+ : F- : F+
The Cabin In The Woods(4/13/2012)
UA : 14 : 15 : 14 : 14 : 11
TA : 68 : 73 : 71 : 68 : 62
Def: 31 : 34 : 26 : 35 : 28
FC : 05 : 05 : 07 : 04 : 03
Lockout(4/13/2012)
UA : 08 : 08 : 08 : 07 : 07
TA : 44 : 54 : 55 : 33 : 36
Def: 28 : 31 : 31 : 19 : 28
FC : 02 : 02 : 03 : 01 : 02
The Three Stooges(4/13/2012)
UA : 15 : 13 : 18 : 12 : 16
TA : 88 : 87 : 90 : 87 : 88
Def: 28 : 34 : 33 : 23 : 23
FC : 07 : 08 : 10 : 03 : 08
Disneynature's Chimpanzee(4/20/2012)
UA : 02 : 02 : 01 : 01 : 02
TA : 50 : 44 : 45 : 53 : 58
Def: 23 : 16 : 24 : 19 : 32
FC : 03 : 01 : 03 : 04 : 05
The Lucky One(4/20/2012)
UA : 05 : 02 : 01 : 12 : 05
TA : 64 : 58 : 50 : 79 : 69
Def: 30 : 13 : 15 : 49 : 35
FC : 06 : 03 : 01 : 16 : 06
Think Like a Man(4/20/2012)
UA : 05 : 04 : 03 : 04 : 08
TA : 49 : 50 : 46 : 51 : 47
Def: 37 : 35 : 35 : 40 : 39
FC : 06 : 05 : 04 : 08 : 07
The Five-Year Engagement(4/27/2012)
UA : 02 : 01 : 01 : 03 : 02
TA : 60 : 45 : 51 : 72 : 71
Def: 30 : 21 : 22 : 38 : 32
FC : 04 : 01 : 02 : 06 : 06
The Pirates! Band of Misfits(4/27/2012)
UA : 01 : 01 : 01 : 01 : 01
TA : 48 : 48 : 47 : 46 : 52
Def: 20 : 19 : 22 : 18 : 21
FC : 01 : 02 : 01 : 01 : 01
The Raven(4/27/2012)
UA : 03 : 02 : 02 : 03 : 04
TA : 56 : 59 : 62 : 49 : 54
Def: 33 : 32 : 29 : 36 : 38
FC : 03 : 03 : 03 : 03 : 05
Safe(4/27/2012)
UA : 02 : 02 : 02 : 01 : 01
TA : 36 : 37 : 46 : 31 : 31
Def: 33 : 32 : 43 : 29 : 24
FC : 01 : 01 : 02 : 01 : 01
The Avengers(5/4/2012)
UA : 13 : 16 : 15 : 11 : 09
TA : 84 : 90 : 88 : 74 : 83
Def: 61 : 73 : 71 : 48 : 50
FC : 24 : 34 : 32 : 13 : 16

Nicole, your brain is like a treasure trove of ready to go shades.

Duca · , 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Nicole

I wasn't too lazy to explain why Jennifer Aniston would flop with Wanderlust

http://atrl.net/forums/showthread.ph...2612&page=2#33

Thanks. *bookmarks*

BeamMeUp · , 9:46 PM

Avengers & Battleship will battle it out for #1 this weekend.

Ace Reject · , 9:47 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Shapes

It'll do 65Mill opening weekend, at least.

Dom gross will be 230Mill easily, remember that people don't give a **** about quality.

The most reliable sites are actually pegging it for 27 million sis.

BeamMeUp · , 9:48 PM

Ace, link?

Nicole · , 9:51 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Ace Reject

The most reliable sites are actually pegging it for 27 million sis.

We were just talking about this yesterday. I don't think that's right. That would be a HUGE bomb. And the Nielsen tracking doesn't indicate that kind of massive flopping.

herohoney · , 9:53 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by clairebear23

In order to comment, you have to have a brain and not have a bipolar disease. Oopsie. Did i say that? *gigggggggggggggggles*

Rafael · , 10:16 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by G4L

Because obviously you were in the room when her movie contract was signed, and you know all the terms and conditions of it.

Because obviously you and Clairebear were there to read her the contract and negotiate the percentage she would be getting...

Rafael · , 10:19 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by clairebear23

In order to comment, you have to have a brain and not have a bipolar disease. Oopsie. Did i say that? *gigggggggggggggggles*

What a stupid lame ass and childish response... I didn't even need to read the name to guess it was you...

Basic.